ParaEval

Compare trigger decisions on catastrophe cases.

Set case + policy for a fixed event

Start from a benchmark case, tune the case facts or policy terms manually, and read the contract-facing decision immediately without digging through brochure copy.

Current Parameters & Policy

Threshold Multiplier

1x

Base: 118

Full Payout Multiplier

1.2x

Borderline Payout

25%

Observed Value

132

Model Inputs & Sources

Evidence Sources:5
Base Threshold:118
Trigger Unit:index
Event Window:2023-09-01 to 2023-09-02
Location:Kwai Chung, Hong Kong
Coordinates:22.36, 114.13

Evidence Sources Detail

#1Reference station exceeded the first payout tierSupports
Source: wind_apiRaw: Waglan Island sustained wind reached 132 km/h at 03:40 HKT on 2 Sep 2023.Normalized: 132.00
#2On-site instrumentation failed after crossing the trigger tierSupports
Source: claims_adjusterRaw: Loss adjuster notes rooftop sensor logging 121 km/h sustained wind before power loss; roof panels detached over the north loading bay.Normalized: 121.00
#3Claims packet confirms operational disruption and secondary flood impactSupports
Source: uploaded_documentRaw: Warehouse incident report records 0.38m apron inundation, 11h refrigeration outage, and emergency pallet relocation beginning 03:55 HKT.Normalized: 0.38
#4Flood extent product shows water around the apron but not through the full warehouse footprintSupports
Source: satellite_observationRaw: Post-event flood extent sample shows pooling around the western apron and truck queuing lane, with no clear standing water signature in the main chilled storage footprint.Normalized: 0.12
#5Secondary station supports the trigger outcomeSupports
Source: wind_apiRaw: Cheung Chau sustained wind reached 126 km/h during the same storm window.Normalized: 126.00

Model Results

0 / 6 completed
WorkbenchNot Methong-kong-cold-storage-saola · reference-wordingbenchmark

No analysis run yet

Recommended payout
$0
Confidence
0%
Sources used
5

Reasoning

  • Click "Run All Models" to start analysis

Based on

Case
Flagship benchmark packet

Kwai Chung, Hong Kong · 2023-09-01 to 2023-09-02

Policy
Reference wording

Matches the benchmark packet and current settlement memo. · threshold 1x

Packet provenance

Snapshot identity, timing, and the short event trail stay here instead of repeating in the main surface.

Expand
Snapshot version
pkt-1-2026-04-01
Run ID
placeholder
Build timestamp
Sep 2, 4:00 PM HKT
Source count
5
Session version
paraeval-session-v1
Coordinates
22.3566, 114.1277
Event window
2023-09-01 to 2023-09-02
Sep 2, 12:30 AM HKT
Storm warning escalated
Typhoon signal escalation prompts refrigerated inventory lockdown and trailer repositioning.
Sep 2, 3:40 AM HKT
Reference station crosses trigger
Waglan Island sustained wind reaches 132 km/h, activating the first payout tier under policy wording.
Sep 2, 3:55 AM HKT
Warehouse disruption logged
Incident report records apron inundation, loading bay damage, and refrigeration outage.
Sep 2, 4:00 PM HKT
Decision issued
Trigger confirmed with a 70% payout recommendation and a basis-risk note on secondary flood evidence.